Pacajus vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pacajus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
MOT
1 - 1
PAC
70%
19%
12%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
PAC
0 - 1
JCA
69%
20%
11%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
TUN
1 - 0
PAC
66%
20%
13%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
PAC
0 - 0
FPI
32%
25%
42%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
FPI
1 - 2
PAC
62%
23%
15%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
TOC
0 - 1
JCA
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
MOT
1 - 2
TOC
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
TOC
0 - 0
4DE
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
TOC
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
TOC
4 - 1
CAS
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +3 |