Pacajus vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pacajus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
PAC
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
CAU
0 - 0
PAC
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 1
CAU
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 2
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
PAC
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAU
18%
20%
62%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 4
BAR
40%
25%
36%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
GUA
57%
22%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
CAU
1 - 0
GUA
67%
19%
15%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
PAC
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |