Pacajus vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
67.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pacajus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
PAC
1 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
ICA
0 - 0
PAC
33%
23%
44%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 1
PAC
30%
24%
47%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
PAC
1 - 0
IGU
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
CAU
2 - 1
PAC
31%
23%
46%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
FER
2 - 0
ICA
83%
13%
4%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
FER
10%
22%
68%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 3
FER
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
CAU
79%
13%
8%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
IGU
1 - 1
FER
11%
18%
71%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |