Pacajus vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pacajus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
IGU
1 - 0
PAC
35%
25%
39%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
PAC
1 - 1
CAU
39%
23%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
PAC
48%
23%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
PAC
1 - 4
FER
13%
20%
68%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
PAC
1 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
CRA
61%
23%
16%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 1
ICA
32%
26%
42%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
FER
4 - 0
CRA
84%
12%
4%
|
25 | 58 | 33 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 2
UNI
23%
23%
54%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 3
IGU
29%
25%
46%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -2 |