Pļaviņas / DM vs PPK analysis


10	ELO	11
30.2%	Tilt	32.6%
19571º	General ELO ranking	47335º
40º	Country ELO ranking	172º
ELO win probability

60.6%

Pļaviņas / DM

17.9%

Draw

21.5%

PPK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

60.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.1%

17.9%

Draw

0-0

1.5%

1-1

6.2%

2-2

6.4%

3-3

2.9%

4-4

0.7%

5-5

0.1%

6-6

<0%

0

17.9%

21.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

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ELO progression

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