Øystese vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
66.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Øystese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
RMF
4 - 1
OIL
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
OIL
2 - 3
VIL
75%
16%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 1
OIL
79%
14%
8%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 1
MAN
77%
14%
9%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
RAN
59%
20%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
JER
2 - 1
VAR
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 2
ALG
61%
20%
20%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
AIK
3 - 3
VAR
25%
23%
51%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |