EFL Cup 1/32
Global 6-2
Oxford United vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
REA
2 - 1
OXF
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
OXF
3 - 0
WOL
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1997 |
SUN
3 - 1
OXF
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
OPA
2 - 1
OXF
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1997 |
PLY
3 - 5
OXF
31%
27%
43%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
YOR
3 - 1
BUR
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1997 |
GRI
0 - 0
YOR
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
YOR
2 - 1
GIL
44%
29%
27%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1997 |
YOR
1 - 1
POR
29%
27%
44%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
YOR
0 - 1
BRO
49%
27%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |