Oxford United vs Yeovil Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
OXF
1 - 0
ALT
70%
20%
10%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
YOR
1 - 1
OXF
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
OXF
5 - 0
GRA
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
OXF
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
OXF
3 - 1
CRA
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Yeovil Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
LEE
4 - 0
YEO
74%
18%
9%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
BRO
1 - 2
YEO
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
YEO
3 - 1
CUM
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
YEO
2 - 2
BHA
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
OLD
0 - 0
YEO
59%
24%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |