Oxford United vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1987 |
ALD
3 - 0
OXF
14%
20%
67%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1987 |
MAC
1 - 0
OXF
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1987 |
OXF
3 - 1
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1986 |
OXF
0 - 1
QPR
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1986 |
WIM
1 - 1
OXF
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1987 |
WAT
3 - 1
MAI
94%
5%
1%
|
83 | 38 | 45 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1987 |
WIM
2 - 1
WAT
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1987 |
WAT
1 - 1
MAC
76%
16%
9%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1986 |
WAT
1 - 0
NEW
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1986 |
LUT
0 - 2
WAT
51%
24%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |