Oxford United vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 1
OXF
24%
27%
49%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
OXF
1 - 0
HAY
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
BAR
3 - 1
OXF
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
OXF
4 - 2
EBB
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
CRA
1 - 2
OXF
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
TAM
0 - 0
FOR
47%
25%
27%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
KET
0 - 0
TAM
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 2
TAM
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
TAM
0 - 1
CRA
41%
27%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
KID
0 - 0
TAM
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |