Oxford United vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
43%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BUR
0 - 0
OXF
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
OXF
2 - 2
BAR
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
BCF
5 - 2
OXF
47%
24%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
OXF
2 - 1
OPA
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
FLE
2 - 2
OXF
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
SUN
1 - 0
AFC
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
SUN
2 - 0
MCI
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
SCU
1 - 1
SUN
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
SUN
1 - 1
LUT
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
SUN
4 - 0
NWC
81%
14%
6%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |