Oxford United vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
OXF
3 - 1
STA
44%
28%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
EXE
1 - 1
OXF
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 1
OXF
59%
24%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 0
OXF
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
OXF
3 - 3
DAG
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
BCF
2 - 1
STE
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
STE
1 - 0
STF
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
STE
2 - 3
YOR
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
STE
0 - 1
GIL
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
AFC
2 - 3
STE
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |