Oxford United vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
42.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
OXF
0 - 3
SHE
25%
26%
50%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
OXF
1 - 0
CHE
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
AFC
0 - 3
OXF
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
EXE
1 - 3
OXF
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
OXF
2 - 0
STA
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 2
BRE
37%
27%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 1
GIL
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 0
SOU
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
DAG
0 - 3
SOU
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
SOU
3 - 0
CHE
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |