Oxford United vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
COV
1 - 0
OXF
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1988 |
OXF
0 - 0
ARS
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
CHA
0 - 0
OXF
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
OXF
4 - 4
CHL
48%
24%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1988 |
NOR
4 - 2
OXF
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
SOU
2 - 2
WIM
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
CHL
0 - 1
SOU
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
SOU
0 - 1
CHA
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1988 |
SOU
1 - 2
COV
58%
24%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1988 |
WAT
0 - 1
SOU
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |