Oxford United vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1986 |
OXF
0 - 1
QPR
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1986 |
WIM
1 - 1
OXF
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1986 |
OXF
2 - 2
ASV
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
LEI
2 - 0
OXF
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1986 |
OXF
4 - 2
LUT
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1986 |
ARS
1 - 0
SOU
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1986 |
SOU
1 - 2
CHL
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1986 |
NTT
0 - 0
SOU
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1986 |
WHU
3 - 1
SOU
62%
21%
18%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1986 |
SOU
3 - 1
WAT
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |