Oxford United vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
OXF
2 - 2
WBA
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1985 |
TOT
5 - 1
OXF
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
NTT
1 - 1
OXF
66%
20%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1985 |
OXF
4 - 3
IPS
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1985 |
OXF
3 - 1
NOR
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1985 |
SOU
3 - 1
NTT
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
NEW
2 - 1
SOU
45%
26%
30%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1985 |
SOU
3 - 0
ARS
52%
24%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1985 |
SOU
2 - 3
EVE
37%
27%
36%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1985 |
SOU
1 - 3
ARS
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |