EFL Cup 1/32
Global 2-1
Oxford United vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
47.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
GRI
0 - 2
OXF
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
SHW
1 - 1
OXF
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
OXF
2 - 0
BRA
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
OXF
1 - 1
WOL
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
REA
2 - 0
OXF
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
SHW
0 - 0
DER
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
SHW
1 - 1
OXF
79%
14%
7%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1996 |
ARS
4 - 1
SHW
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
SHW
0 - 2
CHL
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1996 |
SHW
2 - 1
LEI
75%
16%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |