Oxford United vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
OXF
0 - 2
SOU
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 3
OXF
32%
28%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
OXF
0 - 1
CHE
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 2
OXF
37%
27%
37%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BUR
0 - 2
OXF
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
OPA
3 - 0
ROC
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
YOR
4 - 2
OPA
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
OPA
0 - 1
FLE
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BUR
1 - 2
OPA
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 2
OPA
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |