Oxford United vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BCF
0 - 1
OXF
60%
24%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
OXF
1 - 1
MOR
50%
26%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
OPA
0 - 0
OXF
54%
25%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
OXF
3 - 0
MAN
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BUR
2 - 0
OXF
57%
25%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
PLY
2 - 0
NOR
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
STE
1 - 0
PLY
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
PLY
0 - 2
BCF
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
EXE
1 - 3
PLY
38%
28%
35%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
PLY
2 - 0
CAM
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |