EFL Cup 1/64
Global 7-3
Oxford United vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
OXF
2 - 0
HUR
58%
23%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
OXF
5 - 1
BAR
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
BIR
2 - 0
OXF
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
OXF
2 - 0
SWI
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
BOL
4 - 0
OXF
80%
14%
7%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
BRO
1 - 1
PLY
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
PLY
0 - 0
BOU
45%
28%
27%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
BRI
3 - 1
PLY
58%
24%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
PLY
2 - 0
WAL
40%
28%
32%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1997 |
NOT
2 - 1
PLY
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |