Oxford United vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1986 |
OXF
1 - 0
EVE
25%
26%
49%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
IPS
3 - 2
OXF
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
OXF
3 - 0
QPR
63%
19%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
WHU
3 - 1
OXF
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1986 |
OXF
1 - 1
WAT
42%
24%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
NTT
0 - 0
EVE
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1986 |
WAT
1 - 1
NTT
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
MAC
1 - 2
NTT
37%
27%
37%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
NTT
0 - 0
CHL
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1986 |
ARS
1 - 1
NTT
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |