Oxford United vs Norwich City U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
OXF
3 - 3
COV
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
OXF
2 - 2
MIL
29%
24%
47%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
BRO
3 - 1
OXF
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
OXF
2 - 4
BUR
45%
26%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
BPO
2 - 1
OXF
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
SUT
3 - 2
NOR
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 1
SWA
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
NOR
4 - 1
MKD
17%
19%
64%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 5
NOR
61%
21%
19%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
POS
1 - 6
NOR
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | +2 |