Oxford United vs Northwich Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
BUR
0 - 1
OXF
48%
25%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
WOK
0 - 2
OXF
24%
28%
49%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
OXF
1 - 0
WRE
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
YOR
0 - 0
OXF
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
OXF
2 - 1
HIS
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Northwich Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 0
EBB
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
NOR
3 - 0
LEW
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 0
MAN
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
YOR
1 - 2
NOR
60%
23%
18%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 0
WOK
41%
26%
32%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |