Oxford United vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 0
OXF
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
OXF
1 - 2
LUT
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
AFC
2 - 1
OXF
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
OXF
0 - 3
MAC
6%
15%
79%
|
57 | 92 | 35 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
OXF
1 - 2
WAL
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SWI
1 - 1
NOR
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 0
BCF
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MAN
4 - 0
NOR
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 0
NOT
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
NOR
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |