Oxford United vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
36%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
OXF
3 - 0
MOR
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 3
OXF
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
OXF
2 - 2
GAT
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
OXF
0 - 1
BRO
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 2
OXF
40%
26%
35%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 0
NEW
32%
26%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 0
HAR
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
NEW
3 - 0
OPA
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 1
NEW
32%
25%
44%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FLE
4 - 1
NEW
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |