Oxford United vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
MUD
3 - 2
OXF
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1987 |
OXF
2 - 1
SHW
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1987 |
CHA
0 - 0
OXF
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1987 |
COV
3 - 0
OXF
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
OXF
1 - 3
LIV
24%
28%
48%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1987 |
NEW
4 - 1
NOR
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
NEW
2 - 0
LEI
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1987 |
NEW
2 - 0
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1987 |
NEW
1 - 1
TOT
31%
27%
43%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1987 |
MAC
0 - 0
NEW
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |