Oxford United vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
OXF
3 - 2
TOT
79%
13%
8%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 3
OXF
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
OXF
2 - 0
STF
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
OXF
1 - 3
PLY
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
OXF
1 - 2
STE
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
PLY
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
CHE
3 - 1
MOR
41%
26%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
BUR
3 - 2
MOR
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 2
MOR
26%
24%
51%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
WYC
4 - 3
MOR
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |