Oxford United vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 2
OXF
38%
27%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
OXF
0 - 0
CHE
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
STA
0 - 0
OXF
61%
22%
18%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
OXF
2 - 2
WYC
41%
28%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BCF
3 - 0
OXF
50%
26%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 2
CHE
46%
24%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
BCF
1 - 0
LIN
70%
20%
10%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 1
LIN
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 4
GIL
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
GUL
2 - 0
LIN
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |