FA Cup 1/16
Global 5-4
Oxford United vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
63%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
STO
1 - 1
OXF
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1994 |
OXF
2 - 1
SOU
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1994 |
OXF
0 - 3
SUN
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1994 |
OXF
2 - 0
TRA
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1994 |
BIR
1 - 1
OXF
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1994 |
BBU
2 - 1
LEE
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1994 |
LEE
0 - 0
IPS
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1994 |
LEE
3 - 1
CRE
92%
6%
2%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1994 |
MUD
0 - 0
LEE
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1993 |
LEE
1 - 1
QPR
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |