Oxford United vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CHM
1 - 3
OXF
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
GRA
0 - 4
OXF
21%
26%
53%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
OXF
1 - 0
WOK
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
OXF
0 - 1
TAM
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 1
OXF
24%
27%
49%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2010 |
WOR
0 - 1
KID
24%
24%
52%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
KID
4 - 1
GRA
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CRA
2 - 2
KID
42%
26%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
KID
3 - 2
LEW
60%
22%
19%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
RUS
2 - 1
KID
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |