Oxford United vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 1
OXF
21%
25%
54%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
OXF
2 - 3
LUT
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 5
OXF
20%
26%
54%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 2
OXF
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 0
OXF
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 2
STA
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 1
YOR
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 0
HAR
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 5
HAR
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
CUM
1 - 0
HAR
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |