Oxford United vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
OXF
0 - 0
PLY
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BCF
0 - 1
OXF
60%
24%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
OXF
1 - 1
MOR
50%
26%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
OPA
0 - 0
OXF
54%
25%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
OXF
3 - 0
MAN
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 1
HAR
62%
23%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 1
BUR
21%
25%
53%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
DAG
2 - 0
HAR
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 0
AFC
26%
27%
48%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BCF
1 - 0
HAR
71%
19%
11%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |