Oxford United vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
CAM
2 - 1
OXF
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
CHE
0 - 1
OXF
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
OXF
1 - 2
NOR
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
LIN
3 - 0
OXF
54%
24%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
OXF
3 - 2
BRO
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2005 |
ROC
2 - 0
GRI
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
GRI
2 - 1
YEO
21%
23%
57%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
GRI
1 - 0
CHE
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
SWA
0 - 0
GRI
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
GRI
0 - 1
STF
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |