Oxford United vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
OXF
1 - 1
HUL
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
OXF
0 - 0
IPS
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
OXF
1 - 2
SWI
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
OPA
1 - 1
OXF
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
WIG
1 - 2
OXF
41%
27%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
TOW
0 - 1
FOR
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 1
NEW
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
SOU
0 - 1
FOR
23%
23%
55%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 2
FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 2
MAN
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |