Oxford United vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SHE
2 - 1
OXF
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
OXF
2 - 4
BHA
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
OXF
2 - 1
POS
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
FLE
2 - 0
OXF
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
BRO
2 - 1
OXF
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
EXE
0 - 1
OPA
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
EXE
1 - 3
HUL
14%
23%
63%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
STA
1 - 2
EXE
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
EXE
0 - 1
CRA
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
EXE
1 - 2
HAR
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |