EFL Cup 1/32
Global 2-1
Oxford United vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
57.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1999 |
OXF
1 - 0
SOU
71%
17%
12%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
SOU
0 - 2
OXF
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
OXF
5 - 0
STO
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
BRA
0 - 0
OXF
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
OXF
2 - 4
NOR
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
SHW
0 - 2
EVE
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
DER
1 - 0
EVE
51%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
EVE
4 - 0
WIM
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
EVE
4 - 1
SOU
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
TOT
3 - 2
EVE
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |