Oxford United vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1988 |
OXF
0 - 0
TOT
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1988 |
OXF
1 - 1
LUT
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1988 |
LUT
7 - 4
OXF
68%
20%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1988 |
BRA
4 - 2
OXF
41%
24%
36%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1988 |
OXF
2 - 0
MUD
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1988 |
DER
1 - 2
MUD
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1988 |
OPA
2 - 1
DER
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1988 |
LUT
1 - 0
DER
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1988 |
DER
1 - 3
CHL
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1988 |
WIM
2 - 1
DER
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |