Oxford United vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
OXF
2 - 1
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 1
OXF
32%
23%
46%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 1
OXF
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
BRO
3 - 2
OXF
12%
18%
71%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
OXF
2 - 2
POS
32%
24%
44%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
OPA
2 - 0
CRE
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
0 - 1
CRE
29%
24%
48%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 1
CHE
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
OLD
2 - 1
CRE
27%
22%
50%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CRE
2 - 2
NTT
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |