Oxford United vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
COV
0 - 0
OXF
52%
24%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 1
OXF
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
OXF
2 - 0
CAM
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 3
OXF
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
OXF
1 - 1
NOR
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
WHI
2 - 1
CRA
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
NUN
0 - 3
CRA
19%
25%
56%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 0
REA
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 3
BHA
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 3
FUL
21%
23%
56%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |