Oxford United vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 3
OXF
28%
24%
48%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
OXF
1 - 2
LEI
17%
23%
60%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 1
OXF
21%
23%
56%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
OXF
3 - 0
WYC
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CUM
0 - 2
OXF
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 2
DER
20%
22%
58%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 3
CHE
10%
22%
68%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 2
SHW
25%
23%
52%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 0
CHE
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CHE
3 - 0
BCF
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |