Oxford United vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
ROC
5 - 1
OXF
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
OXF
2 - 1
SOU
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2005 |
SWA
1 - 0
OXF
54%
25%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
OXF
2 - 1
NOT
49%
25%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
OXF
1 - 1
MAC
41%
26%
32%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
CHE
0 - 2
NOR
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
LEY
2 - 0
CHE
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
CHE
2 - 2
BRO
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
CHE
2 - 1
BOS
42%
28%
30%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
DAR
1 - 0
CHE
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |