Oxford United vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
OLD
0 - 2
OXF
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
LEE
2 - 0
OXF
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
OXF
0 - 2
BIR
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
OXF
3 - 4
BRE
36%
24%
41%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
HUL
1 - 2
OXF
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 1
CHE
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 5
POS
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
CHE
0 - 3
BRI
13%
19%
68%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
BAT
2 - 1
CHE
33%
25%
41%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2017 |
EVE
1 - 0
CHE
21%
23%
56%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |