Oxford United vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
STA
2 - 0
OXF
28%
24%
47%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
OXF
3 - 2
OPA
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
WIG
1 - 1
OXF
45%
26%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
GIL
2 - 7
OXF
17%
23%
60%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
OXF
3 - 2
SHW
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
BOL
2 - 1
CHA
39%
27%
33%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 1
BOL
36%
27%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
BOL
2 - 0
CAM
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
BOL
6 - 0
SUN
23%
26%
51%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
STF
0 - 1
BOL
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |