FA Cup 1/64
Global 2-4
Oxford United vs Barrow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 1
OXF
28%
27%
46%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
OXF
1 - 0
BAR
63%
23%
15%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
KID
3 - 1
OXF
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
OXF
1 - 0
YEO
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
OXF
1 - 0
ALT
70%
20%
10%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 2
GRA
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
OXF
1 - 0
BAR
63%
23%
15%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 2
AFC
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 1
EAS
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
GRA
3 - 3
BAR
40%
27%
34%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |