Oxford United vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
18%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
CHE
1 - 2
OXF
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
OXF
0 - 1
GIL
51%
26%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ROT
2 - 1
OXF
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
BUR
1 - 0
OXF
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
OXF
0 - 2
GUL
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 2
GIL
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BAR
4 - 1
NOR
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 0
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
GUL
1 - 1
BAR
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
CHA
15%
21%
64%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | +1 |