Oxford United vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
45.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2002 |
CHA
0 - 0
OXF
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
BRI
0 - 1
OXF
56%
23%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
MAN
1 - 0
OXF
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
OXF
1 - 2
GIL
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
CHE
3 - 2
OXF
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
BBU
0 - 0
ASV
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
MUD
1 - 1
ASV
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2002 |
ASV
0 - 1
SOU
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
ASV
0 - 0
LEE
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
ASV
3 - 0
LUT
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |