Oxford United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
40.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
CHA
0 - 0
OXF
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
OXF
4 - 4
CHL
48%
24%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1988 |
NOR
4 - 2
OXF
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1988 |
WHU
1 - 1
OXF
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1988 |
LUT
2 - 0
OXF
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
DER
0 - 0
ARS
25%
28%
47%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
ARS
1 - 1
NEW
69%
20%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1988 |
ARS
1 - 2
NTT
55%
25%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1988 |
ARS
2 - 1
TOT
59%
24%
17%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1988 |
ARS
4 - 0
CHA
74%
18%
8%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |