Oxford United vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 2
OXF
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
DAG
0 - 1
OXF
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
OXF
2 - 2
BUR
48%
26%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CRE
3 - 1
OXF
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
OXF
1 - 1
ALD
47%
26%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
STA
0 - 2
CRE
54%
23%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
STA
1 - 1
ROT
47%
24%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
GIL
1 - 1
STA
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
STA
3 - 2
CUM
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 0
STA
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |