Oxford City vs Workington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 2
OXF
42%
26%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
OXF
3 - 0
VAU
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 0
OXF
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
HEN
2 - 1
OXF
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
HIS
2 - 2
OXF
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 3
COL
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 3
TOW
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
HED
3 - 0
WOR
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SOL
1 - 1
WOR
65%
21%
15%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
WOR
4 - 2
GAI
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +3 |