Oxford City vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
HYD
0 - 1
OXF
23%
23%
54%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
OXF
1 - 1
BRA
32%
25%
44%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
OXF
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
OXF
1 - 2
HED
21%
23%
56%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
OXF
1 - 2
ALT
18%
21%
61%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
WOR
2 - 2
STA
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
WOR
3 - 0
BOS
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
HED
4 - 0
WOR
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 1
BRA
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 0
WOR
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |